Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.229335 0.258638 0.289657 0.324877 0.363694 0.405108 0.452570
2025-07-27 0.191545 0.231366 0.275950 0.329353 0.391353 0.460831 0.544339
2025-08-03 0.166317 0.213151 0.268163 0.337086 0.420617 0.518046 0.639703
2025-08-10 0.148069 0.200058 0.263771 0.346781 0.451172 0.577131 0.739526
2025-08-17 0.128823 0.182957 0.251987 0.345242 0.466540 0.617448 0.817653
2025-08-24 0.113748 0.169209 0.242568 0.344996 0.482334 0.657925 0.896831
2025-08-31 0.101021 0.157009 0.233654 0.343998 0.496138 0.695545 0.973110
2025-09-07 0.092808 0.150107 0.231020 0.350743 0.519945 0.746608 1.068441
2025-09-14 0.083842 0.141063 0.224370 0.350969 0.534214 0.784874 1.147576
2025-09-21 0.076130 0.133041 0.218351 0.351312 0.548130 0.822656 1.226915
2025-09-28 0.069424 0.125855 0.212851 0.351744 0.561745 0.860067 1.306608
2025-10-05 0.064592 0.121167 0.210678 0.356783 0.582000 0.907284 1.401411
2025-10-12 0.060900 0.118198 0.211215 0.366377 0.610111 0.967845 1.519049
2025-10-19 0.056180 0.112986 0.207698 0.369268 0.628011 1.014037 1.617458
2025-10-26 0.052777 0.109737 0.207098 0.376657 0.653048 1.071602 1.734479
2025-11-02 0.050145 0.107607 0.208155 0.386688 0.682539 1.136787 1.864907
2025-11-09 0.045764 0.101741 0.202280 0.384661 0.692406 1.172099 1.951141
2025-11-16 0.042067 0.096788 0.197580 0.384209 0.704595 1.211175 2.044103
2025-11-23 0.038622 0.091961 0.192692 0.383016 0.715299 1.248044 2.134538
2025-11-30 0.036633 0.089891 0.192690 0.390355 0.740510 1.308650 2.263766
2025-12-07 0.033909 0.085983 0.188904 0.390574 0.753430 1.349716 2.363104
2025-12-14 0.031442 0.082356 0.185355 0.390934 0.766460 1.391204 2.464128
2025-12-21 0.029197 0.078975 0.182007 0.391398 0.779557 1.433054 2.566753